Microsoft Windows Vista will "collapse"

Technology analysts Michael Silver and Neil MacDonald from Gartner said that Windows Vista will collapse unless big changes are made.

Among Microsoft’s problems, the pair said, is Windows’ rapidly-expanding code base, which makes it virtually impossible to quickly craft a new version with meaningful changes. That was proved by Vista, they said, when Microsoft — frustrated by lack of progress during the five-year development effort on the new operating — hit the “reset” button and dropped back to the more stable code of Windows Server 2003 as the foundation of Vista.

“Most users do not understand the benefits of Windows Vista or do not see Vista as being better enough than Windows XP to make incurring the cost and pain of migration worthwhile.”

I’ve said this in the past and I still stand by my statement. I use Windows XP because that is the operating system I’ve used for the last 5 years or so. My installation of XP is perfectly set up to how I use it and hence there is no reason to change.

Windows Vista offers absolutely zero improvement upon XP, certainly in the way that I use my operating system. The only “improvement” I can see is glass transparency which is not only superfluous, but ugly and resource-consuming. And UAC is total disaster. Many friends who have bought new computers with Windows Vista have asked me how to do very simple things such as installing applications which are not UAC-aware.

If I had to lose Windows XP (e.g. if support ended and it became insecure), I would switch to Ubuntu Linux. In fact, I feel Ubuntu is so much more secure and “fun” than Windows and virtually every single application I use is supported by Ubuntu (Microsoft Office being the obvious exception). Arguably, my sunk costs in the form of how I’ve customised my install of Windows XP is the only reason why I continue to use Windows.

As we move towards an interconnected “web 2.0” age, the platforms that matter are not the low-level platforms such as what hardware and operating system we run. The important things are what web browser you run and the web applications that you use.

I’d argue that the three platforms which are the most important to me are Mozilla Firefox, Google and Facebook. And I’m not sure I’d have too much difficulty in finding somebody who would agree with me.

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